The Generic Ballot Number is Noise, Not Signal

If the generic ballot shows a collapse in Democrat strength after Labor Day, then we all need to pay attention.

I have said this with Republicans in the minority headed into the majority and I'll say it now as they're in the…

The generic ballot numbers in April of an election year are noise, not signal. They tell us nothing about November. Heck, they might not even be right. The number has been bouncing around, but averaging about 6% in favor of the Democrats. If the number is still around 6% after Labor Day, I think the GOP can make real hay out of it.

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