This afternoon the Kemp for Governor campaign held a press conference in which they explained there is no mathematical way Stacey Abrams can win the Georgia Governor's race now. There are 25,000 outstanding ballots. If Stacey Abrams won all 25,000 ballots, Brian Kemp would still be above 50%.
The Abrams campaign responded last night and admitted this was true. But they want all the votes counted and claim Abrams will not concede until that happens. It is a startling admission. The Abrams campaign is now itself conceding she cannot win and cannot get into a runoff.
In fact, note the shift here:
Abrams no longer is seeking a runoff. She is seeking a recount. That is a huge shift in the race and a complete acknowledgement from Abrams' campaign that she not only did not clear the hurtle for a runoff, but also that she is outside the margin for a recount. This is significant.
The Abrams team would like us to believe that 95% of all outstanding ballots went for Abrams and so she should be entitled to an automatic recount. But there is no data out there to suggest Abrams could possibly win 95% of all the ballots. It did not happen in the existing absentee ballots counted and it has not happened with the provisional ballots counted so far.
In other words, the Abrams campaign is conceding she lost, but they do not want to actually acknowledge it. They want the grievance of a stolen race. This is a pattern on the part of progressives this election cycle. They are challenging anything that does not benefit them as illegitimate. They are also relying on national press outlets with limited knowledge of Georgia's election laws to make the case for them.
It is extremely notable that Georgia media outlets have not embraced Abrams' voter suppression claims like national press outlets. That is because they understand Georgia law and understand the Abrams' campaign claims are mythology, not fact.
The only fact left is that Stacey Abrams' campaign is admitting that even if she wins 100% of all outstanding votes, the best she could hope for is a recount, not a runoff, and absolutely not a victory.
The race is over. Brian Kemp won.