Want to know the President's thinking on an immigration deal? The White House emailed out a link to this story yesterday evening. It's about an illegal alien with drug issues who shot and killed two police officers. The White House is going to take a very hard line on border security. Meanwhile, Senator Tom Cotton reportedly thinks Democrats would be blamed for a government shutdown and it might help the GOP in 2018.
I think Tom Cotton is right.
Democrats seem to continually overplay their hand on immigration. If Republicans offer a plan to keep DACA recipients in the country and the Democrats still shut down the government, it could re-energize a Republican base that is starting to get tired. It could also push some fence sitters away from the Democrats.
This is a fight worth having. The GOP is probably not going to offer a harsh deal on DACA because there is a strong consensus led by the President that the DACA recipients should be allowed to stay in exchange for border security. If that's the deal and the Democrats balk at it, shut down the government and make the case that the Democrats are putting illegal aliens and lax borders ahead of the national interest.
Personally, I tend to always favor a government shutdown. People need to remember they can survive without the federal government. As Democrats have rediscovered federalism, now they can realize a Washington inconsequential to their lives is a good thing.