Republicans Take the Lead in the Generic Ballot

At least for today, the GOP can breathe a bit easier.

There are about 2 billion news cycles between now and November, but the GOP is now in the lead on the generic ballot. Well, they take the lead in one poll that was conducted online. But it is the Politico/Morning Consult poll, which is a pretty good online poll and so notable.

Fully 39 percent of registered voters say they would support the GOP candidate for Congress in their district, while 38 percent would back the Democratic candidate. Nearly a quarter of voters, 23 percent, are undecided.

That will be reassuring to the GOP and perhaps should encourage them to do more than just tax reform. They are clearly benefiting from tax reform and increases in paychecks. More of this please.

For perspective though, keep in mind the Democrats still have a +6% or so lead in the average of the generic ballot. That's actually still very good news for the GOP considering the Democrats tend to keep an advantage there.

No. 1-2

It won't widen because of that. There aren't but a handful of us that actually care about spending in any meaningful fashion. They may say they support smaller government and spending cuts, but they don't support the actions that would create either of those two things. I don't like it, but it is what it is.


No, the GOP has NOT taken the lead in the Generic Congressional Ballot. They still trail the Democrats by 6.6 points in the RCP average. What they HAVE done is cut their deficit in half from what it was two months ago. But after their budget betrayal, that deficit will widen once again.