Democrats Just Picked Up a Seat That Went for Trump By 28 Points

Special elections are always special and never read more into them than is there, but this is a warning sign for the GOP

You have to be careful with special elections. People tend to over interpret them. But they can be warning signs. And House District 97 in Missouri is one such warning sign. That state house seat went for Donald Trump by 28 points in 2016. During the last regular election, the Republican incumbent, John McCaherty, had no Democrat challenger.

But McCaherty resigned to focus on a different race. His resignation forced a special election where a Democrat just beat the Republican by 108 votes. There were two other special elections wherein the Republican easily won. But what makes this race unique is that it involves a suburban area that swung heavily for Trump. If Democrats keep picking up these suburban areas they will not only take back Congress in 2018, but they'll be well on their way to taking back state legislatures in the run up to redistricting in 2020. This also raises the question of just how vulnerable Claire McCaskill is in Missouri.

Erick continues to dig deep to see any opportunity to put something off on Trump. This small district, suburb of St. Louis, is infected with democrats and no doubt required the previous republican to be more left than right. Since the republican resigned in shame, it would be a gimmie for the left as it was. Dumb analysis again.

This is why I follow Erik. He's got an interesting take on current politics and society, and the comments section always brings out the loonies. It's important for me to be aware of the incoherent rage in this country.

Hyperventilating. This isn’t a district that reliably votes either way. The reason a state Republican won this district last time is only because he faced no Democrat challenger. But this one can easily go either way in an election but not considered one you look to for prestige trends. Democrats in Missouri are a shrinking minority but this is a district where they still have as much of a chance as Republicans.

I think people want balance in their governance. The gop controls the presidency and the houses. It's no surprise if they get voted out.

This is the cycle that benefited the republicans during Obama's years.


There is also the factor where many people will "vote for the candidate, not for the party" in the naive expectation that a candidate will completely ignore the party and vote by conscience. Many people voted for Trump the candidate not Trump the Republican. These type of voters can just as easily vote for John Doe the candidate and not John Doe the Democrat. Since independents are likely to vote this way it could have been their vote that made the difference without really caring who the president is. I personally believe the party does matter which is why I will not will not ever vote for a Democrat no matter how much I like the person. Party discipline is a very strong motivator.

Republicans are beginning ning to seem like, since they have majority in the House, the Senate and have the White House it’s time for them to sir

It’s time for them to sit back and rest on their “laurels.”

Something you never saw demoncraps do. That’s why they held Congressional majoeprity in BOTH Houses for 40 years straight!

THAT is why our nation is in the situation it’s in today.