Republicans May GAIN Seats in Senate Midterms

Far from advancing any agenda of their own, the Democrats may have to take solace in merely grinding Trump’s to a halt.

Fox News host Tucker Carlson made a startling prediction recently that if the Democrats take over Congress in the upcoming 2018 midterm elections that Australian-style gun confiscation is coming our way. But gun rights activists may not need to worry too much at this point.

Not because Tucker is wrong about the left’s desires. It’s silly to doubt that Carlson is right that the Democrats would attempt such a move. Remember, Hillary Clinton seemed open to looking at the idea during the 2016 election. And following the most recent school shooting, Democrats have proposed specific gun bans in much the same way that Australia banned semiautomatic firearms several years ago. So unless you believe that Donald Trump would stand resolutely against Democrat and media pressure on the issue (fat chance), there’s great reason to believe Carlson is right about his prediction.

The reason this seems to be an unnecessary fear is because the odds of Democrats taking over all of Congress (House and Senate) are long. Very long. While historical trends, special elections, and generic ballot polls point to a blue wave coming in November, the reality may not be so rosy for the Party of Pelosi.

While the House of Representatives could reasonably be predicted to fall into Democrat hands, it is distinctly possible, even probable at this point, that not only will Republicans hold the Senate, but they will actually gain seats there. Here’s the hard data from Axios:

I live in one of those states – Indiana. Senator Joe Donnelly has, throughout his political career, fallen backwards into victories. It is unlikely to be easy on him this time, battling with a Republican challenger who already holds a Congressional seat (be it Todd Rokita or Luke Messer).

History would tell us that at least a couple of these races will not go exactly as it appears from this polling, this far out. Still, there are other races not listed here where the Democrat is vulnerable. Michigan’s Debbie Stabenow isn’t safe, nor is Wisconsin’s Tammy Baldwin, or Ohio’s Sherrod Brown.

Should the economy continue strengthening (though Trump is doing his best to undermine that growth with his tariff policy), the anti-Trump messaging that seemed the go-to-strategy for vulnerable Dems just a few months ago may not do the trick.

If it all plays out this way, far from advancing any agenda of their own, the Democrats will have to take solace in merely grinding Trump’s to a halt under the gavel of Nancy Pelosi.

Comments
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DS1
DS1

If the republicrats gain seats will Erick blame Mr. Trump. Let's hope we gain actual Conservative lovers of America unlike the RINO'S' Erik seems to like.

NWRED
NWRED

Correction: Mr. Bundy is running for governor in Nevada.

NWRED
NWRED

Nevada Republican primary could become wild with Bundy, and Tarkanian. Bachman back in to take a seat for Minnesota.. The Democrats are divided with the Bernie wing and the Democratic establishment wing. Feinstein has lost the endorsement of the California Democrats. A Cantwell and Warren loss would be a shock. If the one senator from NJ is up for election, he could be in trouble after his hung jury trial.. Then have one four year term for Joe Apario. Ending with a left and right senate withouit a middle.

etbass
etbass

With Flake, Corker and Cochran out, we are getting rid of three of the worst GOP Senators and should easily hold TN and MS. AZ is probably better odds with Candidate X than Flake running anyway. He had managed to isolate half the GOP and the Democrats and was probably a dead man walking if he had ran again. We need to also remember that the longer a Senator stays, the more they move toward leadership. Just look at Lee and Cruz who have both had some troubling votes/positions in the last year. By a third term, they will be a part of the group or no longer in the Senate. There are no rock ribs that stay that long. It's convert or move on.

MittenTom
MittenTom

While John James would be a spectacular pickup for conservatives, at this point I don't see him besting Debbie Stabenow. In Michigan, there is no serious conservative movement, and even the Republicans are mostly Democrats. I'm praying that we hang on to the 11th House District; it looks "iffy" right now.