How an India-Pakistan War Would Distract China and Russia from the U.S.

If India and Pakistan choose to go to war and the U.S. stays out of it, China and Russia would have to deal with it.

China and Russia are the two largest, long-term national security threats to the United States. And one of the best ways to deal with this reality is to stay out of the way as tensions between India and Pakistan (and India and China) escalate. This doesn’t mean America should provoke or encourage hostilities. But it does mean the U.S. should mind its own business if these nations choose to go to war.

There are various ways to address the national security threats posed by China and Russia. One of these ways is to not interfere with strained relationships between India and Pakistan, and India and China. If any of these strained relationships turn into war, it would occupy the attention of China and Russia. That in turn would mean China and Russia would have less time to meddle with the U.S.

India and Pakistan probably came close to war in the 1990s. If the U.S. hadn’t intervened and helped prevent a conflict, such a war would’ve changed history. There likely would have been no September 11, 2001 attacks on the U.S. That would’ve meant there would’ve been no Global War on Terrorism. And there likely would’ve been no subsequent rise of China or Russia, since both of those nations would’ve been preoccupied with the massive conflict that would’ve been raging in their spheres of influence.

No one can change history, of course, but we can choose not to repeat it. And as tensions escalate between India and Pakistan again (and as they arise between India and China too) the U.S. should avoid becoming involved in their affairs.

In addition to the above-mentioned tensions, China has a relationship with Pakistan. So if India and Pakistan would go to war, China would be involved in that in one form or another. Additionally, reports suggest Pakistan is trying to form closer bonds with Russia. Regardless of how that relationship develops, the Russians would have a strategic interest in becoming involved in any potential regional war.

These four major powers would all be bogged down in a major conflict if India and Pakistan, or India and China went to war; they’d all be forced to concentrate on that. And the most important part of that for the U.S. would be that China and Russia would be distracted from focusing on it. They’d spend less time spying on America, running influence operations against the country, engaging in cyberattacks against it, funding hostile actions against it, and otherwise opposing the U.S..

On top of this, any potential war between the Asian nations would likely end (or radically alter) a current conflict: the Global War on Terrorism. A war between India and Pakistan would particularly draw Islamic jihadists across the world to it. But so would a war between China and India (since the Islamic Pakistan would side with China).

Furthermore, without having to spend so much time fighting the GWOT or worrying about China and Russia, the U.S. could deal with its myriad other problems, including its crippling debt, the ongoing invasion of foreigners, and domestic subversives who are working to tear apart the country.

Like I said, I don’t recommend starting or even encouraging wars between other nations. I also believe it can be productive to work with hostile nations under certain circumstances. But I do recommend not becoming involved in conflicts that do not involve America.

Perhaps tensions will deescalate between India and Pakistan. If so, that’s great. But if they do not and the countries decide to go to war (or if India and China go to war) America should stay out of it. It isn’t the business of the United States. Staying out of those potential foreign wars wouldn’t just relieve America of an unnecessary burden, but it would also help the U.S by occupying the attention of China and Russia.

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