Global Politics

Trump Offers "Dreamers" Immigration Compromise: Price Too High?

President Trump made a proposal to expand citizenship to 1.8 million immigrant "dreamers". Can it pass?

As part of the temporary budget proposal that passed last week, the Senate promised to take up immigration reform. Today, Trump announced a compromise plan. He will allow up to 1.8 million dreamers to stay in the US.

The price is $25 billion for a wall, and other restrictions. Some on the far Right and many on the Left have ridiculed the plan.

Can Trump's "Dreamer's Proposal" pass?

President Trump’s immigration proposal to Congress will include a path to citizenship for an estimated 1.8 million young undocumented immigrants, White House officials said Thursday, more than twice the number of “dreamers” who were enrolled in a deferred action program Trump terminated last fall.

The figure represents a significant concession to Democrats but is likely to produce sharp blowback among conservative Republicans. The White House cast the move as one piece of an immigration framework that would significantly tighten border control laws.

Trump’s plan, which will be formally sent to the Senate on Monday, also includes a $25 billion “trust fund” for a border wall and additional security upgrades on both the southwest and northern U.S. borders. And the president will propose significant curbs to legal immigration channels, restricting the ability of U.S. citizens to petition for visas only for spouses and minor children and ending categories for parents and siblings. Both of those provisions are likely to engender fierce objections among liberal Democrats.

Praise

Criticism

Amnesty Don

Trump Played Cards Well

Like it or not, Trump played his cards pretty well on this.

The Republicans will live up to their promise of addressing immigration reform before a final budget is approved.

Compared to his prior (albeit purposely extreme position) Trump will double the number of immigrants from his previous proposals.

There will likely be more modifications in favor of the Left.

Trump will get his Wall.

My Take

  1. Anything that gets criticism from the far Right and far Left cannot be all bad.
  2. The problem with the wall is that it attacks a symptom of a problem. Illegals come here for free benefits. Is the problem illegal aliens or is the problem free benefits, free education, free healthcare, etc.?
  3. Kicking out millions of productive immigrants who have been here since they were kids is absurd, immoral, and is economically unsound.
  4. Can the plan be better? Nearly anything can be better simply by ignoring extreme positions on both sides. I expect plan improvements, quite an optimistic position. I could be wrong.
  5. Democrats will be forced to take some compromise, not necessarily the exact one Trump proposed. The alternative is the "nuclear option" of limiting debate in the Senate based on 51 votes, not 60.
  6. No one is going to get everything they want. I am pleased with that aspect even though I am certain I will object to some parts of the final compromise.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock

29 Responses

  • Brother

    Jan 26, 2018

    Mish, you are correct give them free stuff they keep coming.

  • Brother

    Jan 26, 2018

    The problem with the wall is that it attacks a symptom of a problem. Illegals come here for free benefits. Is the problem illegal aliens or is the problem free benefits, free education, free healthcare, etc.?

  • MntGoat

    Jan 26, 2018

    Hasn't Mexican immigration slowed greatly in the last few years? Could the wall be a very expensive way to fix a problem of the 80's, 90', '00's but is not that acute anymore? Akin to fighting the last war? I'm not keen on illegals, but this could be a lot of money to fix a problem of the past.

  • Mike Mish Shedlock

    Jan 26, 2018

    "Could the wall be a very expensive way to fix a problem of the 80's, 90', '00's but is not that accute anymore?" My take as well

  • shamrock

    Jan 26, 2018

    "Illegals come for free benefits". BS right wing talking point.

  • Kinuachdrach

    Jan 26, 2018

    Prediction: By the time this has worked its way through the sausage factory, the "path to citizenship" will have become a "path to permanent legal resident alien status". And to qualify (in addition to clean record, English proficiency, etc), the Dreamer will have to prove that the criminal parents who brought them into the US illegally have left the country, with a permanent bar against ever returning. Since Democrats are interested only in adding reliable dumb voters, they will kill the bill. But since Democrats have also now found out that, outside their bubble, 4 out of 5 citizens want to see tighter immigration, the Wall will get built.

  • MntGoat

    Jan 26, 2018

    Not sure on the benefits, need to see the stats on that. But I do know for sure they are lots more future Democrats

  • Matta425

    Jan 26, 2018

    Mish, as a country we will never get rid of the safety nets. As a libertarian I think we should reduce them greatly. So I look as the wall as the only way to reduce mass illegal immigration, and save money in the long run. Just look up how much illegal immigration costs the US a year.

  • Kinuachdrach

    Jan 26, 2018

    Someone (forget who) once said -- "Take your pick -- open borders or welfare; can't have both".

  • Matta425

    Jan 26, 2018

    The libertarian in me wants to get rid of welfare. The realist in me believes we never will.

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